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India's wheat output for 2025-26 is projected near a record 120 million tonnes, above the government's 119 million tonne target. Late-planted fields may lose yield if temperatures rise.
A record Indian crop expands world wheat supply and reduces import demand, which is bearish for prices, though late-planting heat is a modest offset.
thehindubusinessline.comPrabhudatta MishraMar 9, 2026After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
