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The EIA's Annual Energy Outlook 2026 projects US dry natural gas production will rise 20% to 40% by 2050 compared with 2025. Most of the growth is expected to serve LNG exports, with volumes growing significantly through the 2040s.
Long-run output growth tied to LNG exports signals sustained demand pull on US gas, though the outlook has little immediate effect on prices.
After 40 past neutral report events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -3.5% to +2.8%), and +4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.