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USDA NASS Rice Stocks report showed rough rice stocks on June 1, 2026 at 74.8 million cwt, up 7% year over year. Milled rice stocks were 5.93 million cwt, down 3% from a year earlier.
Higher rough rice stocks signal ample US supply, which is mildly bearish for rice prices, though the milled decline is a small offset.
After 87 past bearish report events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.