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USDA reported a flash sale of 13.7 million bushels of soybeans to unknown destinations, with 2.2 million old-crop and 11.5 million new-crop bushels. Traders believe China was the buyer, and US new-crop soybean prices had fallen below Brazil's.
A large likely Chinese purchase supports US soybean export demand and prices, especially with US prices now competitive against Brazilian supply.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.