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EBC Financial Group explains that the baht is weak in 2026 because of a 250-275 basis point US rate advantage, higher oil costs and a weaker trade position. USD/THB reached 33.640 on July 20, its highest level of the year, and is nearing 34.00.
Higher oil costs and a weaker baht raise Thailand's import costs for feed ingredients, which can weigh on local demand for imported commodities.
ebc.comRylan ChaseAug 1, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
