
The US dollar fell across Asia after the Bank of Japan intervened in FX markets, producing the biggest one-day USD/JPY loss in two years. The AUD and NZD gained about 1.0% and 1.4% respectively, and USD/CNH broke below 6.75 for the first time in three years.
Brent rebounded to about $89 on renewed Middle East tensions.
A weaker dollar and stronger Asian currencies lower the local-currency cost of imported feed inputs in Asia, while the oil rebound adds freight and energy cost support.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.