The Canadian dollar weakened on Friday, heading for its steepest weekly decline in over two months. A stronger US dollar after Warsh's remarks outweighed strong Q2 GDP growth.
Markets raised the odds of a 25-basis-point September Fed hike to about 57.5%.
Expectations of a Fed hike strengthen the US dollar, raising import costs for dollar-priced feed inputs in Canada. The move is driven by rate expectations rather than a change in agricultural supply.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.