
ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said further rate hikes will be necessary because euro area inflation risks are tilted to the upside and growth has been more resilient than expected. She warned that waiting for wage effects could leave the ECB behind the curve.
The comments underpinned the euro against the dollar.
Higher European rates support the euro and weaken the dollar, which can ease pressure on dollar-priced commodities. The effect on feed grain prices is indirect.
After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.