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PUSK analysts forecast Ukraine will harvest at least 11.5-12 million tons of sunflower seed despite southern drought. They expect new-crop prices of UAH 19,000-20,000/t at the start, falling to UAH 16,000-17,000 in September-October if closed deep-sea ports limit exports.
Limited port access keeps the seed supply heavy in autumn, which tends to cap sunflower meal and oil export prices and pressures the crush sector.
apk-inform.comAug 21, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 13 past bearish logistics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +3.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
