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Indian domestic non-basmati rice prices have risen over 10% in recent weeks on a demand-supply gap and deficient monsoon fears. The government raised the paddy MSP to ₹2,441 per quintal from ₹2,369.
A weak monsoon and a higher support price raise producer costs and tighten domestic paddy supply, supporting rice prices and export offers from India.
After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.