Ukrainian grain rail exports collapse 95% to Black Sea ports in August 2026 · h.ua

After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.

• Jun 2, 2023Ukraine has 'plan B' to continue exports if grain deal collapses, minister says | Reuters-3.8%
• Jul 9, 2020Ukrainian farmers and grain exports hit hard by Russian blockade of Black Sea ports | Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation+0.7%
• Jun 19, 2026Rising Attacks on Ukrainian Black Sea Ports Threaten Grain Export Capacity and Global Supply | Tridge Insights-1.6%
• Aug 1, 2026Ukraine's Black Sea ports lose a third of grain export capacity, farmers' union says-0.8%
• Jun 15, 2022Unblocking the Black Sea for Ukrainian Grain | RAND-2.3%

After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Jun 2, 2023Ukraine has 'plan B' to continue exports if grain deal collapses, minister says | Reuters-1.5%
• Jul 9, 2020Ukrainian farmers and grain exports hit hard by Russian blockade of Black Sea ports | Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation-5.2%
• Jun 19, 2026Rising Attacks on Ukrainian Black Sea Ports Threaten Grain Export Capacity and Global Supply | Tridge Insights-1.1%
• Aug 1, 2026Ukraine's Black Sea ports lose a third of grain export capacity, farmers' union says-0.1%
• Jun 15, 2022Unblocking the Black Sea for Ukrainian Grain | RAND-1.6%