
Ukraine's farmers' union says its Black Sea ports have lost about a third of their grain export capacity after missile and drone attacks. The Odesa ports had been handling about 6 million metric tons of cargo a month under a grain shipping deal.
Lower Ukrainian port capacity cuts supply to world markets and raises freight and insurance costs, supporting wheat, corn and barley prices.
After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.