
COCERAL cuts its EU-27+UK 2026 grain crop forecast to 279 million tonnes, down 8 million from July and well below 2025's 307.4 million. Maize is lowered to 48.6 million tonnes, and the French maize crop is projected at 7.6 million tonnes, the lowest in more than 20 years.
A sharply smaller European maize and grain crop increases reliance on imports and supports corn and wheat prices in the feed market.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.