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Commerzbank says China's Q3 growth of 4.5% lacks clear drivers, with fixed-asset investment down 10%, and sees little need for major stimulus. It expects the yuan's gradual appreciation to continue, slowing to about 0.2% per month since June.
Weak domestic demand in China reduces feed demand growth expectations, and the slow yuan appreciation has minimal near-term price effect.
tmgm.comFXStreet Insights TeamOct 18, 2026After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
