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The yuan has gained less than 1% against the dollar since late July, while the US dollar index fell more than 2%. Analysts say the People's Bank of China is resisting a sharp rise in the currency after US Treasury interventions.
Managed yuan appreciation limits the currency's effect on China's import demand, so feed commodity prices are not strongly affected.
After 169 past neutral macro events, USDCNY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.