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The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has sharply increased demand for Panama Canal transits, with US fuel exports reaching record highs as countries seek non-Middle East oil. The Atlantic Council analysis argues the canal should capture this windfall, noting the canal handles about 13,000 ships yearly versus roughly 35,000 through Hormuz before the conflict.
Shifting energy and cargo flows through Panama raise canal premiums and congestion costs for bulk and grain shipments, while the rerouting of global shipping adds freight cost pressure on US export routes.
atlanticcouncil.orgKatherine WallaMay 21, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 26 past bullish logistics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.1% to +9.5%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 22 past bullish logistics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.7% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -5.7% to +4.5%), and -1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
