
Soy Transportation Coalition expert Mike Steenhoek says barge capacity has fallen 25% and fewer barges are moving on the Mississippi, though exports have been slow enough to offset the impact. He cites ample world soybean supply, a stronger US dollar and high interest rates as bigger export headwinds.
Exporters are shifting some grain to rail toward Pacific Northwest and East Coast ports.
Ample global soybean supply and a stronger dollar weigh on US export competitiveness and soybean prices, while reduced barge capacity raises freight costs for upriver shipments.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.