Horizons: New Crop Marketing Year, New Grain Export Potential

After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Mar 23, 2023Corn, soybean oil export sales hit marketing year highs | News-Talk 1230 KFJB+1.6%
• Oct 1, 2020Grain Bins Not As Full At Close Of Marketing Year - Central Mo Info-0.3%
• Dec 20, 2024Christmas Comes Early to the Mississippi River and Tributaries - The Waterways Journal+1.5%
• Oct 6, 2020USDA drops a bombshell and the markets explode - Grain Central+2.6%
• Dec 15, 2025Corn, wheat export inspections maintain faster than last year paces - Brownfield Ag News+1.6%

After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Oct 1, 2020Grain Bins Not As Full At Close Of Marketing Year - Central Mo Info+2.7%
• Dec 20, 2024Christmas Comes Early to the Mississippi River and Tributaries - The Waterways Journal+1.8%
• Oct 6, 2020USDA drops a bombshell and the markets explode - Grain Central+1.2%
• Apr 12, 2022US soybean stocks cut, Brazil’s soy export highs, Canadian grain exports: Top stories in the soy market - Fastmarkets+3.7%
• Feb 8, 2023Neutral WASDE report maintains expectations – Ohio Ag Net | Ohio's Country Journal+1.5%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.