
The USDA will host its third North American African Swine Fever Forum in Raleigh, North Carolina, from August 29 to 31, with government and industry from the US, Canada, Mexico and other regions. Topics include the US Protection Zone, depopulation readiness, surveillance and traceability during an outbreak.
The forum draws on a North Carolina State model of ASF spread among southeastern US farms.
The forum is a preparedness event and does not itself change current supply or demand. It signals ongoing vigilance against a disease that would be strongly bearish for hog prices if it reached the US.
After 645 past disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 615 past disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.