
African swine fever struck a 27,000-pig facility in Estonia, about 45% of the country's pig production, following earlier herd losses of around 10%. The Swine Health Information Center also reported a SAT-1 foot-and-mouth disease strain identified in Egypt and illicit animal product movements.
Losing nearly half of Estonia's pig output and spreading FMD in the region tightens European pork supply, supporting hog prices and feed demand for pig rations.
After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.