The Swine Health Information Center's February update reports continued African swine fever activity in Europe and Asia, including a major Latvian farm outbreak and four farm outbreaks in South Korea in January. It also flags emerging concerns about foot-and-mouth disease, while the Philippines reported a sharp decline in ASF cases.
Ongoing ASF pressure in exporting regions raises the risk of disease reaching US herds, which would be a significant supply shock for pork. The current impact on prices is limited because the news is a monitoring update rather than a new US outbreak.
After 69 past neutral disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.