
TA Securities says Indonesia's planned rise in its crude palm oil export levy to 10% would lift Indonesian CPO prices by about US$26.49 per tonne, widening its premium over Malaysian palm oil, which currently sits US$146.30 per tonne lower. SGS auditors say buyers, especially price-sensitive ones, may shift to Malaysia where export costs are lower.
Higher Indonesian export costs should redirect demand toward Malaysian palm oil, supporting Malaysian prices and market share.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.