
Indonesian industry groups say the higher export levies on crude palm oil and its derivatives weaken the incentive for exporters to meet domestic market obligations for Minyakita cooking oil. The levy increase took effect May 17, 2025 under Finance Ministry Regulation 30/2025.
Minyakita supply could be disrupted, and it is still priced above the retail ceiling.
Weaker DMO incentives could tighten domestic cooking oil supply and keep palm oil prices firm. The policy may also reduce the export flow that normally supplies world vegoil markets.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.