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Indonesia set the February 2026 crude palm oil reference price at USD 918.47 per metric ton, up USD 2.84 or 0.31% from January. The reference drives export duties and levies, and the government cited stronger seasonal demand and weaker supply.
A higher reference price raises the duty and levy base for Indonesian palm exports, which signals firm underlying palm oil prices.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.