Energy experts estimate Indonesia's B50 biodiesel incentive funding could reach IDR 65 trillion, and the government may raise the crude palm oil export levy to 12.5% to help finance it. The final cost depends on global palm oil and crude prices.
A planned levy increase and large biodiesel subsidy needs point to higher export costs and stronger biodiesel demand if the mandate proceeds, though the outcome remains uncertain.
After 513 past neutral policy events, Palm Oil moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.