
Indonesia targets full B50 biodiesel implementation from October 1, 2026, with national distribution reported at 80%. President Prabowo called the program a success, and the government is moving toward an E50 bioethanol program.
GAPKI said higher domestic absorption under B50 could trim exportable palm oil volumes by roughly 5 million tonnes.
A roughly 5 million tonne reduction in exportable palm oil is a material tightening of global supply, which supports palm oil prices and the vegetable oil complex.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.