Loading…
US biofuel use of soybean oil in 2021 has not risen above 2020 levels through July, despite announced renewable diesel plants. Federal blending requirements for 2021 are unchanged from 2020, so the growth reflects market preference rather than new policy.
Soybean oil prices have been higher.
Flat biofuel use alongside higher oil prices suggests the price strength is coming from expectations of future renewable diesel demand rather than current consumption. If announced capacity is only partly built, that expectation could fade and weigh on soybean oil.
soygrowers.comNov 4, 2021After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
