
The Farm Bureau summarized EPA's final RFS rule for 2023, 2024 and 2025, saying the volume increases fall short of industry expectations. The rule sets the annual biomass-based diesel and advanced biofuel obligations that drive renewable fuel demand.
Binding renewable volume obligations set the demand floor for biomass-based diesel and therefore for soybean oil. Volumes below expectations temper the bullish case somewhat but still support demand.
After 841 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.