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EPA published the final Renewable Fuel Standard volumes for 2019 on November 30, 2018, raising requirements for cellulosic biofuel, advanced biofuel and total renewable fuel. The volumes remain well below the statutory levels Congress set in the 2007 EISA law, which expected 8.5 billion gallons of cellulosic ethanol.
Biofuel blending mandates set demand for corn-based ethanol, soybean oil and other feedstocks, so the final volumes shape feedstock demand and oilseed and corn prices. Waiver provisions that allow EPA to reduce volumes add downside risk to that demand.
resourcewise.comSuz-Anne KinneyJan 8, 2019After 317 past bullish policy events, CORN moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 841 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
