
The American Soybean Association outlined California's December proposal to change its Low Carbon Fuel Standard and how it could affect soybean-based biofuels. California accounted for 97% of U.S. renewable diesel consumption in 2022, and the state's incentives have drawn renewable diesel production to it.
Changes to California's credit and carbon-intensity rules could alter demand for soybean oil-based renewable diesel, with mixed effects on soybean oil and soybean prices.
After 196 past neutral policy events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 554 past neutral policy events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.