
China's soybean imports through October 2022 were 73.2 million tonnes, down 7.5% year on year. Its US purchases for shipment through August 2023 were close to 21 million tonnes as of Nov.
10, up 12% from a year earlier.
Strong forward US purchases by China support US soybean export demand and prices, though weaker overall imports cap the upside. Soymeal demand tied to the hog herd is a key factor.
After 696 past bullish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, SBM moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.