
China pledged to buy at least 25 million metric tons of soybeans annually for three years, returning purchases to pre-trade-war levels. However, the 12 million tons planned through January covers only a fraction of typical volumes, and farmers are worried about rising costs.
The annual commitment supports long-term US export demand, but the small near-term purchase volume leaves current-crop prices reliant on other buyers.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.