China's US Ag Purchases Slightly Lag, But Year-End Target

After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Apr 27, 2021US-China phase one tracker: China’s purchases of US goods - WITA-0.6%
• Jan 20, 2026China meets initial soybean purchase goal, but trade agreement faces uncertainty | AP News+0.4%
• Nov 14, 2019Trade talks hit bump as China resists US demands on agricultural purchases+0.3%
• Oct 18, 2019After trade talks in U.S., China ramps up Brazilian soy purchases+0.2%
• Sep 25, 2025China signals that purchases of US soybeans hinge on tariff removal | Reuters+0.4%

After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Apr 27, 2021US-China phase one tracker: China’s purchases of US goods - WITA+4.7%
• Feb 4, 2022China scoops up U.S. soybeans for next year but corn plans unclear+3.3%
• Jul 30, 2020China needs 'explosive' buying to meet U.S. farm import target-0.7%
• Dec 10, 2019Soybeans extend gains as Chinese purchases stir hopes of U.S.-China deal | Financial Post+4.3%
• Dec 14, 2019Factbox: A lot of soy, a little rice - China's historical U.S. agricultural purchases+4.2%