
The UN Joint Coordination Centre reported that seven vessels carrying about 290,102 tonnes of grain and food products were transiting the Black Sea corridor on November 3, 2022. Russian delegation inspectors had resumed work, and the inspection queue had shrunk, though over 120 vessels were still waiting.
Steady vessel movements and a shorter inspection queue increase corn and wheat export availability, which is mildly bearish for prices. Congestion among inbound vessels still limits how fast supply can move.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 137 past bearish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.0%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.