
Around 90% of Russia's seaborne grain exports, totalling 62.4 million tons in the 2023/24 season, were routed through southern Black Sea ports. Russia is boosting loading capacity in other regions as exports surge.
Heavy concentration of Russian exports in the Black Sea keeps shipping and insurance risk elevated, and new Baltic capacity could gradually diversify supply routes, a longer-term factor for wheat export pricing.
After 163 past neutral logistics events, WHEAT moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 44 past logistics events, KWHEAT moved a median -0.7% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.8%), and +2.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.