
USDA's Ag Outlook Forum projected a 2022 US corn yield of 181.0 bpa, a record, and soybeans at 51.5 bpa, the second-highest ever. The article notes Dakota corn and soybean acreage share has grown while 2021 yields there were poor.
A record projected corn yield and high soybean yield point to ample supply, which is bearish for corn and soybean prices and feed input costs.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.