The USDA Iowa field office's 2023 crop year review described warmer-than-normal temperatures and drought that pushed corn and soybean development ahead of average. Corn harvest reached 97% by November 19, about 10 days ahead of normal, and soybean harvest was also early.
An early, orderly harvest with no major yield loss in Iowa has limited supply-side price pressure in the near term.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.