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An ag meteorologist says drought relief in the Corn Belt could depend on when an El Niño pattern arrives. NOAA gives a 62 percent chance El Niño develops from June to August and has issued an El Niño Watch.
Nearly 42 percent of corn and soybean production is in drought.
A late or weak El Niño would leave Midwest drought unresolved, raising the risk of yield losses and supporting corn and soybean prices.
brownfieldagnews.comKellan HeavicanMar 26, 2026After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
