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Brent futures fell more than $10 a barrel, their third-largest daily drop on record, and WTI dropped below $100 for the first time since May. Traders unwound the inflation-hedge trade as recession fears and aggressive interest rate hikes took hold.
The unwinding of oil as an inflation hedge reduces investment flows into commodities, which pressures feed-related energy and commodity prices lower.
bloomberglinea.comAlex Longley, Devika Krishna KumarJul 6, 2022After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, BRENT moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Explains the plunge as unwinding of the inflation-hedge trade as recession fears and rate hikes took hold; it is dated a day later but describes the same move.
