
India's rice exports rose 19.4% in 2025 to 21.55 million tonnes, the second-highest on record, after New Delhi lifted all remaining export curbs. Non-basmati shipments jumped 25% to 15.15 million tonnes, and basmati exports reached a record 6.4 million tonnes.
Renewed Indian supply pushed Asian rice prices to near-decade lows and displaced rivals from Thailand and Vietnam. Continued heavy Indian exports should keep global rice prices under pressure.
After 141 past bearish trade events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.3% to +2.4%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.