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Bank of America cut its 2016 GDP growth forecast for China and lowered the growth target to 6.4% from 6.5%. Analysts expect the yuan to depreciate faster against the dollar after Brexit as investors move into the greenback.
Capital Economics said the direct economic shock from the UK to China would be small.
Expected faster yuan depreciation and slower Chinese growth point to softer Chinese import demand and a stronger dollar, both of which weigh on feed commodity prices.
marketwatch.comSue ChangJun 27, 2016After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Analysts expected faster yuan depreciation post-Brexit as money moved into the greenback and China's growth forecasts were cut, which fed sentiment.
