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Brazilian shares hit an all-time high before closing 3.6% higher on January 2, 2019, and the real firmed 2.4% for its best day in over seven months. Markets reacted to reports that Economy Minister Paulo Guedes had drafted a temporary decree for pension reform.
Currency strength driven by pro-reform policy makes Brazilian agricultural exports pricier in dollar terms, a mild bearish factor for soybean and meal export prices.
en.mercopress.comJan 3, 2019After 13 past bearish policy events, USDBRL moved a median -3.4% over 5 sessions (15% higher; middle half -3.4% to -1.3%), and -1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports the real's best day in over seven months (+2.4%) as investors reacted to Guedes' pension reform decree plans, a sentiment-driven inflow that lowered BRL per USD.
