
Indian food prices have risen sharply in the past month, with edible oils, rice, flours and vegetables up as much as 50% sequentially in some cases. Heavier-than-expected monsoon rains, lower crop output and a rupee that fell from 85.90 to 87.82 per US dollar are cited as drivers.
Monsoon damage to crops and a weaker rupee raise the landed cost of imported edible oils, supporting palm oil and other vegetable oil prices. Domestic grain and oilseed prices are also firmer.
After 181 past bullish weather events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.