
Jul-21 soybean futures closed at $15.89 per bushel after rising about 66 cents over the week, with soybean meal at $441.80 per short ton and soybean oil at $0.6448 per pound. Brazil exported a record 17.4 million tons of soybeans, 74% to China, while low Parana River levels are forcing Argentine shippers to cut loads.
Record Brazilian exports and river-related loading restrictions in Argentina tighten near-term supply of soybeans and meal, supporting prices while the market prices in strong new-crop values.
After 206 past bullish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.6%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 167 past bullish logistics events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.9%), and -1.2% over 20.
After 85 past bullish logistics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.7%), and +3.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.