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Chicago corn futures surged to a more than six-month high on Monday amid dry conditions in Argentina, with soybeans also rising and wheat recovering from contract lows. A dip in the U.S. dollar supported all three grains.
Argentine dryness threatens soybean meal and corn exports from a major supplier, tightening feed supplies and lifting prices, while a weaker dollar makes U.S. grains cheaper for foreign buyers.
agcanada.comAGCanadaJan 6, 2025After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Corn surged to a six-month high on Jan 6 on Argentine dryness and a weaker dollar, directly matching the +1.95% one-day move.
