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Malaysia's palm oil exports fell 41.7% in the first month of its Movement Control Order, to 890,331 tonnes from 1.53 million tonnes a year earlier. China has also decided to draw 500,000 tonnes from its soybean reserves because Brazilian cargoes were delayed.
Malaysia is also deferring the next phase of its B20 biodiesel mandate.
Weaker export demand and deferred biodiesel mandates both reduce palm oil consumption, pressuring CPO prices. China's soybean reserve drawdown also cuts its near-term imports, which weighs on soybean prices.
themalaysianreserve.comDzulMay 4, 2020After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Malaysian exports down 41.7% during lockdown, B20 biodiesel deferral and extra Chinese soybean reserve supply point to weak demand and lower palm prices (published 4 May, within the window).
Published 2020-05-04, it reports a 41.7% drop in Malaysian exports, a deferred B20 biodiesel phase and weak demand, all bearish for palm oil prices in the window.
