
Global stock indexes rose sharply and the US dollar dropped to a six-week low on Friday after data showed US job growth slowed more than expected in October. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell to five-week lows, with the dollar index down about 1.1% in afternoon trading.
The softer jobs data weakens the dollar and lowers yields, which generally supports dollar-priced commodities and feed ingredients, though weaker growth expectations cap demand optimism.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day report of the dollar index falling about 1.1% as Treasury yields dropped after the jobs data directly describes the move via lower yield differentials.