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The August USDA Crop Production report forecast a record US soybean yield of 53.3 bushels per acre and a crop of 4.425 billion bushels. Soybean futures still rose more than 30 cents for the week, supported by strong Chinese demand and doubts about production levels.
FSA acreage data came in well below projected plantings, leaving final acreage uncertain.
A larger crop is bearish on its own, but strong Chinese buying and questions about acreage outweighed it and lifted prices. Buyers should watch the September FSA update for clarity on final supply.
proag.comAug 18, 2020After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
