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China's yuan rose to its strongest level since May 2018, reaching 6.3451 per dollar. The move followed bets that the central bank's broad monetary easing would support growth and that the Omicron variant would have a limited global impact.
Demand for the dollar as a haven eased.
A stronger yuan lowers the cost of Chinese import purchases in dollar terms, which can support demand for feed commodities. The effect on prices is modest because the move reflects sentiment rather than a change in trade flows.
bloomberg.comTania ChenDec 8, 2021After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Yuan hit its strongest since 2018 on Dec 8 on PBOC easing bets and eased haven dollar demand, but it describes yuan strength, so the 0.53% CNY/USD move may reflect either that momentum or its reversal.
