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The US dollar is rallying as sticky inflation leads investors to expect the Federal Reserve to keep rates higher for longer. Markets had priced about 50 basis points of Fed cuts for 2024, down from 150 at the start of the year.
The two-year US-German yield spread reached its widest since 2022 as the ECB signaled possible cuts as soon as June.
A stronger dollar makes US-priced grains and feed ingredients more expensive for foreign buyers, which tends to weigh on export demand and prices. Wider rate differentials also draw capital into dollar assets.
reuters.comSaqib Iqbal AhmedApr 15, 2024After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Higher-for-longer Fed repricing and a widening US-German yield spread supported the dollar rally.
